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The Iran Conundrum




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Disclaimer:
David P. Price, PhD is responsible for this content, which is not edited by the Wilson County News or wilsoncountynews.com.

December 21, 2009 | 2,539 views | 4 comments

We are interrupting our series on the Drug War to respond to the breaking news on Iran. The Drug War has been a monumentally failed policy for 40 yrs and will undoubtedly remain so for another week. For the moment, however, Iran has presented us with a challenge, and as good citizens we need to understand it.

Iran attacked oil fields in Iraq. Why? Because Iran wants us to attack them. Why would Iran want the most powerful nation in the world to attack them? Two reasons; first and foremost, they have severe internal political strife. As we all watched last summer, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his thugs stole the election. The young and middle class didn’t go along with it, and do not want the policies of isolationism and Islamic fundamentalism. They want economic development and closer ties with the West.

But the illegitimate government of Iran knows if we attack them, this will unite the country against a common enemy. It is an all too frequently used but diabolical political ploy. The Japanese used it to initiate WWII and take attention away from the lingering economic effects of the Great Depression, and the Argentines seized the Falkland Islands to draw attention away from the economic mess their military government created.

Iran is using this reprehensible tactic, as strategically they know our ground forces are stretched to the limit in Iraq and Afghanistan. A full-scale invasion of Iran is not possible. Therefore our reaction will probably come in defending the oil fields, but what they really want is for us (or the Israelis) to bomb their nuclear facilities.

Why would they want us to bomb them? We might set their nuclear program back a few years but it would be an endorsement of their rhetoric as to how evil is the West. It would give them propaganda in persecuting dissidents as “spies” or agents of the West, and otherwise provide legitimacy in using even more brutal methods to silence the opposition. Middle East scholars also predict the Iranians would release a wave of terrorism against Americans and American targets wherever they might be.

We can ill afford creating another front in the terrorist war on the US. Iraq was a huge mistake, energizing al Qaeda and providing on the job training. IED’s and suicide bombing was never a tactic of the Taliban, but al Qaeda has taken what they learned in Iraq to Afghanistan, which otherwise spun out of control while we were preoccupied in Iraq. And now, Pakistan appears vulnerable. We have a nuclear state in political turmoil which if it were to fail would provide ready-made and colossally powerful WMD’s to the Taliban. We have to retain forces to be able to deal with that nightmare situation.

We have enough enemies. In Iran we have many friends. They are not in power but are protesting daily and are a palpable force for positive change. They see us and the Western media as their allies. Bomb them and that will change. It will be another application of Ignorance of Power.
 
« Previous Blog Entry (December 14, 2009)
 


Your Opinions and Comments

 
4th Generation Texan  
Sutherland Springs  
December 23, 2009 11:51am
 
 
There's several good reasons to believe Iraq was NOT a mistake...1) EVERYONE including all the major intelligence agencies around the world believed there were WMD 2) Iraq ... Read More Read More
 
 
Rock'n chair Rambler  
Over Taxed, TX  
December 23, 2009 9:23am
 
 
It has become pop culture to say Iraq was a mistake. Even O'Reiley repeats the Liberal mantra, throwing a bone to the “fair and balanced“ believers. But, let’s just imagine ... Read More Read More
 
 
SMCB  
La Vernia  
December 22, 2009 8:11pm
 
 
Iraq was not a mistake.
Iran just knows we have a sissy wanna be world dictator that wants to please every one except Americans.
 
 
Rock'n chair Rambler  
Over Taxed, TX  
December 21, 2009 10:50pm
 
 
" Iraq was a huge mistake, energizing al Qaeda and providing on the job training."

The Iraq war accomplished 3 strategic objectives. Firstly, it took the oil ... Read More Read More
 

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